Nobel Peace Prize 2025: Can Donald Trump Really Win It?

With the Gaza ceasefire deal, Trump claims credit for ending eight wars. But do his claims withstand scrutiny?

As the Norwegian Nobel Committee prepares to unveil the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner on October 10, global attention is once again drawn to a familiar and polarizing figure — U.S. President Donald Trump. Read More

Since taking office in January, Trump has repeatedly insisted that he deserves the coveted award, claiming to have “ended at least seven wars.” Now, with a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas reportedly tied to his administration’s 20-point peace plan, Trump says he’s brought peace to an eighth conflict.

Trump’s Argument: ‘I Ended Seven Wars’

Speaking before the UN General Assembly last month, Trump declared, “Everyone says I should get the Nobel Peace Prize. I ended seven wars. No one else has ever done that.”
His list of supposed successes includes conflicts between Cambodia and Thailand, Kosovo and Serbia, the DRC and Rwanda, Pakistan and India, Israel and Iran, Egypt and Ethiopia, and Armenia and Azerbaijan.

What’s Behind Trump’s Peace Claims

Some of these conflicts—like Serbia and Kosovo or Rwanda and the DRC—did see limited U.S. involvement in ceasefire talks. Others, like Israel and Iran or Egypt and Ethiopia, are either exaggerated or outright disputed.
In some cases, Trump’s claim of brokering peace came after brief flare-ups, not prolonged wars.

Still, his administration did engage in multiple ceasefire negotiations and, in some regions, helped prevent further escalation.

Gaza: Trump’s Biggest ‘Peace’ Push Yet

The Gaza ceasefire, announced this week, could mark the first major success of Trump’s new term. The agreement, based on his recently unveiled 20-point peace plan, has temporarily silenced two years of violence between Israel and Hamas.
While critics note that U.S. weapons and diplomatic cover for Israel helped fuel the war, Trump’s team insists his pressure on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was decisive in securing the truce.

Iran, Pakistan, and Beyond

In June, Trump also claimed to have “ended” the short but intense Israel-Iran war, which began after Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. The U.S. actively participated in those attacks before helping to mediate a ceasefire.
Likewise, a four-day air war between India and Pakistan in May ended after Trump announced an agreement — though Pakistan credited Washington while India denied U.S. involvement.

Smaller Conflicts, Bigger Claims

In August, Cambodia and Thailand agreed to a truce after mediation involving Trump, Malaysian PM Anwar Ibrahim, and Chinese officials.
Trump also points to a June deal between Rwanda and the DRC, which remains fragile but has held so far.
He further touts his 2020-era Serbia–Kosovo accord, renewed under his current term. Yet, tensions remain, and the EU remains the main diplomatic force in that region.

Disputed or Dubious ‘Wars’

Trump’s list, however, includes conflicts that never fully existed as wars. His assertion that he ended fighting between Egypt and Ethiopia over the Nile dam is misleading — their dispute was diplomatic, not military.
Similarly, in a recent Fox interview, Trump confused Azerbaijan and Albania, claiming he had brought peace between the wrong pair of countries.

Why Trump Wants the Nobel

Trump’s pursuit of the Nobel Peace Prize is deeply personal. He has repeatedly compared himself to Barack Obama, who won in 2009 for “strengthening international diplomacy.”
“If I were named Obama, I would have had the Nobel Prize given to me in 10 seconds,” Trump quipped last year.

Reports from Norwegian media suggest Trump even called Finance Minister Jens Stoltenberg to discuss the prize in July, lobbying behind the scenes.

But Has He Really Promoted Peace?

Critics say Trump’s record tells a different story.
He ordered strikes in Somalia, Yemen, and even the Caribbean, citing anti-terror and anti-narcotics missions. His June attacks on Iran and bombing campaigns in Yemen contradict the Nobel’s vision of peace.
Trump also made headlines by threatening to annex Greenland, and even suggesting he might take over Canada and the Panama Canal.

The Nobel’s Controversial History

The Nobel Peace Prize, founded by Alfred Nobel, honors “the person who has done the most for fraternity between nations.” But its past winners show that the definition of peace is flexible.
In 1973, Henry Kissinger won the prize for the Vietnam ceasefire — even as U.S. bombings devastated Cambodia. That legacy looms large over today’s debate.

Does Trump Have a Chance?

Experts say the Nobel Committee evaluates the totality of a leader’s actions.
According to political scientist Nina Graeger, Trump’s isolationist policies, withdrawal from global institutions, and domestic democratic controversies “do not align well with Alfred Nobel’s ideals.”

Final Verdict

While Trump’s supporters hail him as a “peacemaker,” his record is a patchwork of partial truces, disputed credit, and continuing violence. The Nobel Committee, known for its independence and caution, will weigh those claims carefully.

As the world awaits October 10, one question remains —
Can Donald Trump really be recognized as a peacemaker, or is his Nobel dream just another act in his global performance?

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Harry Son

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